WK

Weekly Picks

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Backtest vs SPY

Jan 2023 – Oct 16, 2026 · same rule
This tabSPY, buy and hold

Return by year

2026 is year-to-date

Growth of $10,000

weekly, from Jan 2023

Track record

How it works. After the last close of each week the rules run on daily data (the lists appear here about 30 minutes after that close). Everything is bought at the next week's first open and sold by its last close – dip picks, the Magnificent 7 and the 10 strongest volatile stocks alike – and nothing is held over the weekend. Dip picks are sold earlier at the target, the stop (checked against each day's high and low; if both are touched on one day the stop counts; a gap past either fills at the open) or the week's last close. ATR = average daily range over 14 days at the deciding close; before the week opens, target and stop are estimated from that close.

Low risk – the Magnificent 7 (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, AMZN, META, TSLA, equal weight) plus large-cap dip picks: Market Overview large caps in an uptrend (above the 200-day average, 50-day above 200-day) that fell more than 8% in 5 days with RSI(14) 25–40, top 3 by the drop, target +2 ATR, stop −1 ATR, 1/3 of the account each. Medium risk – the same dip picks with the whole account split over them; Magnificent 7 in weeks with none. High risk – the most volatile third of ~145 stocks (60-day volatility rank that day): dips of more than 1.5× their normal weekly move, RSI 25–40, uptrend, top 3, target +3 ATR, stop −2 ATR, whole account split; in weeks with no dip, the 10 strongest of those stocks by 3-month return. Most of High's return came from those momentum weeks, not from its dip picks.

Live vs backtest. Live weeks were saved before that week opened; Backtest weeks were computed afterwards with the same rules. All settings were chosen after seeing 2023–2026, and the Magnificent 7 is a list of stocks already known to have won – so the backtest flatters every tab. No commissions or slippage. Rules last changed Oct 19, 2026; each saved week keeps the rule it was picked with. Not investment advice.